Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000969 0.001006 0.001043 0.001084 0.001128 0.001173 0.001223
2025-09-21 0.000894 0.000947 0.001003 0.001066 0.001135 0.001210 0.001297
2025-09-28 0.000843 0.000907 0.000977 0.001058 0.001150 0.001252 0.001375
2025-10-05 0.000783 0.000853 0.000930 0.001022 0.001129 0.001250 0.001401
2025-10-12 0.000752 0.000829 0.000914 0.001018 0.001142 0.001287 0.001473
2025-10-19 0.000726 0.000808 0.000901 0.001016 0.001155 0.001323 0.001542
2025-10-26 0.000701 0.000786 0.000884 0.001008 0.001160 0.001347 0.001599
2025-11-02 0.000683 0.000772 0.000876 0.001009 0.001176 0.001385 0.001674
2025-11-09 0.000661 0.000753 0.000860 0.000999 0.001177 0.001402 0.001721
2025-11-16 0.000642 0.000734 0.000845 0.000989 0.001176 0.001417 0.001765
2025-11-23 0.000635 0.000732 0.000849 0.001003 0.001207 0.001475 0.001872
2025-11-30 0.000624 0.000723 0.000844 0.001005 0.001222 0.001512 0.001951
2025-12-07 0.000607 0.000707 0.000830 0.000995 0.001220 0.001526 0.001999
2025-12-14 0.000589 0.000689 0.000813 0.000981 0.001212 0.001531 0.002033
2025-12-21 0.000576 0.000677 0.000802 0.000975 0.001214 0.001550 0.002090
2025-12-28 0.000553 0.000651 0.000774 0.000943 0.001180 0.001516 0.002059
2026-01-04 0.000543 0.000642 0.000767 0.000941 0.001186 0.001539 0.002123
2026-01-11 0.000534 0.000633 0.000760 0.000938 0.001193 0.001563 0.002190
2026-01-18 0.000523 0.000623 0.000750 0.000931 0.001192 0.001576 0.002238
2026-01-25 0.000516 0.000617 0.000747 0.000933 0.001203 0.001608 0.002321
2026-02-01 0.000505 0.000606 0.000736 0.000923 0.001199 0.001615 0.002360
2026-02-08 0.000495 0.000596 0.000726 0.000914 0.001194 0.001621 0.002398
2026-02-15 0.000494 0.000596 0.000731 0.000927 0.001222 0.001681 0.002538